COVID-19 OUTBREAK STATISTICS


Post by:  Ashritha Kota, Student

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    At the end of 2019, Novel coronavirus was identified when a clump of pneumonia cases was reported in Wuhan, China. It led to rapid spread all over the Wuhan province of China and culminated as a pandemic.
    But this isn’t a new virus. It is found to be the mutated version of SARS which had affected China very badly back in 2003 but not much globally.

WHERE DID IT COME FROM??
    The origin of COVID-19 is not yet confirmed but there are some possible assumptions. One assumption is that it might have spread from the wet markets of China where folks slaughter various kinds of wild animals for consumption. A few articles say that it has been originated from bats and spread to humans on consuming them. The second one is that it might have been started from China’s most advanced virus research laboratory, Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV). The primary outbreak remains a mystery and yet China is under a lot of Global pressure due to lack of transparency.

A BRIEF ABOUT THE PREVIOUS PANDEMIC

     Swine flu outbreak in 2009 harmed all classes of society. Nearly 60.8 million people were infected and about 2.73 million people were hospitalized and it had killed around 203 thousand people across the world. It had been a dreadful situation all over the world. After 9 years, a similar situation has arisen which is affecting the whole world in many ways.

LOOKING AT THE NUMBERS!

     Right after China, it immediately affected countries like Italy, Iran due to travellers from China. Almost 215 countries have reported positive cases including China(mainland) until now. Confirmed COVID-19 cases increased ten-fold in less than a month, from 100,000 in the first week of March to more than a million by the 2nd of April and Nearly 30 folds, i.e., 3.35 million positive cases have been reported as on May 4th . The death total death count has reached 243 thousand and yet dynamic. Almost all countries have been hit hard both economically and socially. (https://covid19.who.int/)


    The increment in the positive cases is exponential. The actual death toll is likely to be more than the confirmed death reports due to lack of testing equipment and daily updates may not be precise due to late reporting. The number of actual COVID cases may not be the same as that of confirmed. We know only the statistics of tested people.
    Well, this happened in China about 17 days ago. They revised their death count from 3689 to more than 4600. This revised figure was due to some unreported cases, records kept at funeral homes, unrecorded deaths that took place outside the hospitals. 


Exponential increment in positive cases




Daily confirmed COVID-19 cases



The fatality rate of the COVID-19 pandemic


WHO ARE AFFECTED MORE??

      Rather than youngsters and children, people in the age group of 60-80 and 80+ are mainly infected due to their poor immune system. Conditions like diabetes, heart disease, or other chronic illness can lead to severe symptoms, complications in the disease, and death. Hence, the countries with a high percentage of the elderly are more affected. Here comes Italy, which has a high and dynamic death rate due to 23% of the population being aged.

Fatality rate by age


HOW IS THE RECOVERY??

    Nearly 1.12 million people have recovered.  Compared to the number of positive cases all over, the recovery rate is low. The recovery rate is quite good in a few countries but for highly infected.
Total recoveries compared to confirmed cases and the death count


  WHAT IS THE SITUATION IN SOME OF THE COUNTRIES??
    World Health Organisation (WHO) had put up a few guidelines regarding keeping oneself clean, maintaining social distance, lockdown and participation in large gatherings. Regardless of being called as Developed countries, many didn’t take immediate steps to follow the guidelines given related to lockdown which caused a huge outbreak. Italy and the USA are major examples of this. But it is not the same in the case of South Africa as they have taken good measures and maintained a low number of cases. (https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/advice-for-public)

    Some countries have approached in a different way to fight this. A few examples are Sweden, Singapore, Hong Kong. And Vietnam’s strategy is also quite different and many other countries can try to follow.

    Coming to India, why isn't it hit hard?? And what is the strategy? 
Let's look at these in the coming posts!

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Comments

  1. It's good n very informative

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  2. Very informative.. Easy to understand and nice graphics

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  3. Very informative. Keep up the good work.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Nice graphics and informative, good content and keep it up

    ReplyDelete
  5. very helpful! Thank you for keeping us updated!

    ReplyDelete
  6. Very informative.
    Keep posting the statistics daily.

    ReplyDelete

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